Table 88 : Projections of Students for Secondary Schools in St. Lucia
1999/00 to 2005/06
Year	No. Sitting	Transition	Intake	Enrolment				Total
	CEE Exam	Rate (%)	Form 1	Form 2	Form 3	Form 4	Form 5	Form 1 to 5
1999/00	4798	68	2522	2573	2755	2538	2142	12530
2000/01	4686	73	3511	2497	2547	2727	2513	13795
2001/02	4384	78	3671	3475	2472	2522	2700	14840
20002/03	4451	84	3661	3634	3441	2447	2497	15679
2003/04	4374	89	3947	3624	3598	3406	2423	16997
2004/05	4131	94	4104	3907	3588	3562	3372	18533
2005/06	4352	99	4090	4063	3868	3552	3526	19099
Note :	Table 87 shows that the transition rate from Grade 6 to Form 1 has increased from 54% to
	68% during the years 1994/95 to 1999/00. Because of the Government Policy to achieve
	99% transition rate by 2005/06, transition rates for 1999/00 to 2004/05 have been linearly
	interpolated.
	Enrolment in Forms 1 to 5 for 1999/00 are actuals.
	Flow Model Technique has been used to project enrolment figures for the remaining years
	as shown in the Table and a constant flow rate of 99% has been used for all forms.
	Number sitting exam is the total of grade 6 projections and other eligible grade 7 students
	which was estimated at an average of 23% over the period 95/96 to 99/00.